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GOLDMAN: Here Are Our Top 7 Trades For 2013

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Goldman Sachs has released its top seven trade recommendations for clients in 2013.

We have already highlighted two of the trades as they've been released over a period of days.

The trades aren't for everyone and some of them are pretty technical.

But they offer a very intimate look at what Goldman Sachs sees for the world next year.

The common thread throughout the trades: 2013 is the year of risk-on.

Go long the Wavefront GDP Growth Basket

Originally introduced: August 13

Target return: 10 percent

The trade: This is basically a risk-on bet on the U.S. stock market. Goldman's proprietary "Wavefront GDP Growth" basket is comprised of long positions in cyclical stocks from the materials, industrials, and consumer discretionary sectors and short positions in more defensive stocks from sectors like consumer staples and healthcare.

The logic: Goldman is bullish on the U.S. economy in 2013 and thinks the stock market should therefore see a rotation into cyclical stocks as growth accelerates and investors seek higher returns from riskier assets.



Go Long the Current Account "FX Current"

Originally introduced: December 10

Target return: 4 percent

The trade: "FX Current" is another proprietary Goldman basket. Investing in it involves taking long positions in currencies of countries running current account surpluses, funded by currencies in countries with account deficits.

The logic: Goldman strategists write, "When the global macro and policy outlook becomes more uncertain, cross border capital flows tend to slow temporarily, often leaving a large current account deficit or surplus as the primary drivers of the FX market." In other words, countries running big external deficits could face currency depreciation risks.



Go Long Large Cap US Banks

Originally introduced: December 7

Target return: 20 percent

The trade: Invest in the KBW Bank Index (ticker BKX), comprised of stock in several of the biggest U.S. banks.

The logic: This is another risk-on bet on the U.S. economic recovery in 2013. Goldman notes that U.S. banks lagged housing stocks as a rebound in U.S. housing took place in 2012. However, Goldman expects some of that improvement in housing to pass through to bank balance sheets in 2013.



See the rest of the story at Business Insider

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