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After a month of spring training and six months of the regular season, Major League Baseball's postseason picture is set and some of the biggest teams in the sport are still alive.
MLB hit the jackpot with the Chicago Cubs, Boston Red Sox, New York Mets, Los Angeles Dodgers, San Francisco Giants, and Toronto Blue Jays — six of the most popular franchises — filling up six of the ten playoff spots. They even got Dallas' team, the Texas Rangers, both teams from the DMV area, the Washington Nationals and Baltimore Orioles, and the Indians hoping to join LeBron James and the Cavaliers as champs in Cleveland.
The only true marquee teams missing are the New York Yankees and St. Louis Cardinals.
Meanwhile, the ten teams still alive have one month to win October and be crowned champs. Here is how those teams stand entering the playoffs (World Series probabilities are via Baseball Prospectus).
10. New York Mets
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It is the postseason in Major League Baseball and if you get in, you've got a shot. But if there is one team that is hard to make a case for, it's the Mets.
Take a look at the Mets' rotation to start the season and where they are now:
1. Matt Harvey — Had season-ending surgery in July to deal with thoracic outlet syndrome.
2. Noah Syndergaard — Still in rotation and pitching well.
3. Jacob deGrom — Had season-ending surgery in September to repair ulnar nerve damage.
4. Bartolo Colon — Pitching well, but is 43 years old and has only pitched past the sixth inning two times in his last six starts.
5. Steven Matz — Hasn't pitched since August. Was supposed to return to the rotation at the end of September, but had a setback. Will have surgery this week for a bone spur in his elbow and will miss the postseason.
So, the Mets, a team whose strength is supposed to be its pitching, will be without three of their top five starting pitchers in the postseason and one of the healthy pitchers is in his mid-40s.
To make matters worse, the Mets face Madison Bumgarner of the Giants in the winner-take-all Wild Card game. Bumgarner is 4-0 with a 0.62 ERA in his career at Citi Field and a 2.14 ERA in 14 career postseason appearances.
And if the Mets can find a way past Bumgarner, they get the Cubs in the next round. Not good.
How they got in: First Wild Card in the National League
Regular-season record: 87-75, 8.0 games behind the Washington Nationals in the NL East
Chances to win World Series: 2.3%
9. Baltimore Orioles
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For the second time in three seasons, the Orioles were that team that just didn't know better. They weren't supposed to be in the playoff hunt, but just never went away.
Despite going 21-25 in their first 46 games after the All-Star break, the Orioles rebounded to go 16-11 in September and 7-2 in their last nine games to grab one of the Wild Card spots.
Offensively, the Orioles are pretty straightforward. They led MLB with 253 home runs this season, 28 more than any other team. They were also dead last with 19 stolen bases and just 6 triples.
On the mound, Orioles starters had a 4.72 ERA this season. Only two teams in the American League were worse, the Twins and A's. Those two teams combined to lose 196 games.
If they are going to get to the World Series, they are going to need to continue to surprise. They will almost certainly be underdogs against any potential opponent, starting with the Blue Jays in a winner-take-all Wild Card game in Toronto where the crowd will be as wild as any.
How they got in: Second Wild Card in the American League
Regular-season record: 89-73, 4.0 games behind the Boston Red Sox in the AL East
Chances to win World Series: 2.9%
8. San Francisco Giants
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The Giants were the ultimate tale of two halves. Entering the All-Star break, no team had a better record than the 57-33 Giants. But after the break, the Giants went 29-42. Only the Twins and Phillies were worse.
The good news is that the Giants did win six of their final eight games when it mattered most. The other good news is that they are still the Giants with a ton of talent.
The Giants have to travel to Citi Field to play the Mets in the Wild Card game. But as we mentioned earlier, they have to like their pitching matchup. Madison Bumgarner is 4-0 with a 0.62 ERA in his career at Citi Field and a 2.14 ERA in 14 career postseason appearances.
Unfortunately, if the Giants get past the Mets, they get the Cubs in the next round. But don't forget, this is also the team that has won the last three World Series played in an even year.
How they got in: Second Wild Card in the National League
Regular-season record: 87-75, 4.0 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West.
Chances to win World Series: 3.8%
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